One Person’s Perspective on Global Warming, Part 2

I forgot to define a most basic concept: Euclidian methods = Euclid’s geometric principles.
These are the principles we are taught in high school and college. If you take any college courses on differential equations you may touch briefly on nonlinear equations.
Euclidean geometry is a mathematical system still taught in secondary school as the first axiomatic system and the first examples of formal proof.
A linear equation is one where all the exponents are 1. (The formal definition is y = mx+b, where m=slope of the line and b is the y intercept.)
The definition of a nonlinear equation is an equation that is not linear. Really, what this means is that the exponent of y and/or x is not = 1 or 0.
So proponents of the popular global warming are projecting a Euclidian system on a nonlinear problem.
The earth is over 4 billion years old, maybe 5 billion years old and they can go back 1000 or 2000 years to try prove a trend?
So, in other words, the earth has been here on the order of 109 years and you want to take a sample on the order of 103 years. You are taking a sample of .000001% of the total years, computed like this 103 / 109 = 10-6 / 102 = 10-8 = .000001%.
A sample size of like this should not lead to a great deal of confidence in your global warming theory, especially when their method of establishing a trend is so shaky.
Maybe it’s true, but I could also win the lottery this coming Saturday.
Any questions?

One Person’s Perspective on Global Warming

I have not been able to articulate my position on global warming in the past. However, after reading several papers/books, I have more or less developed the thoughts that may explain my position.
Most of my concepts have been crystalized after reading the book “CHAOS” by James Gleick. (Do a Google.)
First of all, let me review a few terms so that we all know what I am talking about when I use certain terms.
Weather prediction and global warming are mathematically intense areas of study.
Doug, Newton’s formula were not wrong; F = MA, Force equals mass times acceleration is a special case of Einstein’s formula E = mC2 for small fractions of C. (C, of course, refers to the speed of light in a vacuum.) The mathematics developed by Newton and others are responsible for almost everything you can look at in your life. It is also true most of the electronics in our life now are the result of advances in quantum mechanics.
The theory of relativity and quantum mechanics have been proven to describe the reality of our world at their respective orders of magnitude (relativity at speeds approaching the speed of light and quantum theory at times on the order of 10-60 sec).
A linear system is one in which Newtonian mathematics are ideally suited. Newtonian mathematics are generally considered to be deterministic and are well adapted to analysis using known mathematical tools. Even if not exactly solvable, the outcome of a linear problem is rather predictable.
Weather predicition and weather systems are nonlinear. Except in simple and well documented problems, nonlinear equations are generally considered to be unsolvable, or at least the apparent solutions are not predictable or reliable.
Nonlinear equations and problems cannot reliably use Euclidian geometry for analysis.
In other words, in a nonlinear system you may know what happened at time t-1 and t-2 but you cannot use that knowledge to predict what will happen at time t+1 and t+2 because the nature of nonlinear is unpredictability.
Are you getting a hint where I am coming from?
I guess what I am saying is that you cannot reliably apply Euclidian methods to predict long term results from nonlinear systems.
More to come later.

iPhone-Only Social Network – Would it Succeed of Flop?

The iPhone has captured its fair share of the mobile market – it is particularly successful with the “fan boy” demographic. Also with the demographic of people who are easily sold on the promise that this phone is the wave of the future. Sure it has good features – any smart phone on the market these days does and some phone manufacturers like Nokia actually have devices that more than give the iPhone a run for its money.

In fact it could be said that Nokia’s offering is a cut above Apple’s – you don’t have a battery which requires factory service to replace, the software development aspects aren’t nearly as restricted as found on the Apple’s platform.

So if Apple or another company were to launch an iPhone-only social network, it would be bringing together other people that are iPhone enthusiasts only, which would amount to a group of people matching the characteristics above. If this “network” were closed to anyone but iPhone users, I think it would limit itself greatly to potential users. With the world becoming as competitive as it is, and the number of social networking websites and tools that are cropping up growing to staggeringly large numbers, a homogeneous social network would do well to open itself to other devices.

You may not be aware, but the iPhone is still not commercially available in every country on Earth. The Chinese in fact, have taken to smuggling iPhone *back into* China where they are produced for the consumer electronics market in China. Obviously, these smuggled units are encumbered and would only be purchased by those that would be willing to tinker with the devices long enough to get them to work with their local cellular provider.

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